During a recent interview on Fox News, Republican strategist Karl Rove explained that Trump’s path to victory lies by winning one of three states. Trump needs to win either Pennsylvania, Georgia, or Michigan to become President once again.
According to Fox News host Bill Hemmer, former President Trump would receive 252 electoral votes if he wins the swing states of Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina on Tuesday. However, in order to secure the necessary 270 electoral votes needed to become president, Trump would need to win either Pennsylvania, Michigan or Georgia. So, even if Trump does lose a few battleground states, he can still come out “over the top” according to Rove.
“It’s gonna be absolutely close,” Rove explained. “As you said, Arizona appears to be [Trump’s] best state, but in North Carolina, it appears to be going their way. More Republicans are voting in early voting than our Democrats, but the state has a large group of unaffiliated independent voters, we don’t know exactly how they’re voting, but it’s gonna be close because as you say, if he wins Georgia, the race is over. If he wins Pennsylvania and loses Georgia, the race is over because if he does take Nevada, Arizona, and North Carolina, it gets him within either one of the 15 or 19 state electoral votes: Michigan, Georgia is 16, Pennsylvania [is] 19. Any one of them puts him over the top.”
Trump has gained significant ground with key American demographics, specifically blue-collar workers and young African American and Latino men who believe that the Democrat party has failed them.
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In Arizona, Trump leads Harris by 2 points, a 0.2 point lead in Nevada, and a 1.2 point lead in North Carolina according to the latest polling averages. Trump now has a 0.3 point lead in Pennsylvania with Harris still holding a small lead in Wisconsin and Michigan.